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US Nuclear Forces: Meeting the Challenge of a Proliferated World
10/02/2009 This report seeks to provide the basis for an informed and constructive debate over the role of nuclear weapons in the overall US defense posture. To this end, the principal focus is on identifying the existing and emerging security environment as it pertains to nuclear weapons. The report also offers some recommendations on how the United States might best respond to the challenges posed by nuclear proliferation, and, hopefully, create a more secure global environment.
Nuclear Terrorism: Assessing the Threat, Developing a Response
04/22/2009 This report examines tthe issue of nuclear terrorism and attempts to answer the following questions: How real is the risk that a terrorist group could acquire or construct a functional nuclear device, and how might it attempt to do so? Which group poses the greatest threat in this regard,how has that threat changed over time, and is it currently growing or abating? What existing and prospective measures will prove most effective in preventing terrorists from obtaining a nuclear weapon, stopping them from delivering and detonating a weapon if prevention fails, and responding both at home and abroad in the event that an attack succeeds? 
The Challenges to U.S. National Security
08/21/2008 This report translates the principal challenges to US security into a representative set of contingencies in order to determine what resources will be required, and how they should be apportioned among forces and capabilities. 
Future Security Environment Presentation
08/21/2008 Presentation slides from August 21, 2008 Strategy for the Long Haul initiative launch.
Report Raises Questions About Costs and Effectiveness of Space-Based Weapons
11/01/2007 The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments has released a new report “Arming the Heavens: A Preliminary Assessment of the Potential Cost and Cost-Effectiveness of Space-Based Weapons” authored by Steven Kosiak, CSBA’s Vice President for Budget Studies.
Arming the Heavens
10/31/2007 A Preliminary Assessment of the Potential Cost and Cost-Effectiveness of Space-Based Weapons
Defense Roles, Missions, and Requirements
06/20/2007 Testimony before the House Armed Services Committee
CSBA Releases New Report: Thinking About Seabasing: All Ahead, Slow
10/19/2006 The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments has released Thinking About Seabasing: All Ahead, Slow by Senior Analyst Robert Work
CSBA Releases New Report: Spending on US Nuclear Forces
09/14/2006 The report analyzes options the United States might pursue over the next several decades to modernize its nuclear offensive strategic forces.
Spending on US Strategic Nuclear Forces
09/01/2006 The report analyzes options the United States might pursue over the next several decades to modernize its nuclear offensive strategic forces
The Quadrennial Defense Review: Rethinking the US Military Posture
10/24/2005 An anlysis of the $441.8 billion request for national defense authority for fiscal year 2006, not including funds for Iraq and Afghanistan.
The Cruise Missile Challenge
03/10/2005 An analysis of trends in personnel costs and the implications for the DOD plans and programs.
The Cruise Missile Challenge Overview
11/09/2004 A review of the cruise missile challenge, an increasing threat to US security.
The Transformation of Strategic-Strike Operations
01/11/2002 CSBA's report recommended that the Nuclear Posture Review consider the merits of a new type of strategic triad. The findings of the NPR released this week track closely with CSBA's recommendation.
Emerging Capabilities May Permit Fundamental Change in US Strategic Force Posture
03/21/2001 In releasing their latest report today on The Transformation of Strategic-Strike Operations, Andrew Krepinevich and Robert Martinage present a thought-provoiking framework for considering how America's strategic forces might be reshaped to meet tomorrow's
The Transformation of Strategic-Strike Operations
03/00/2001 A strong case can be made that the United States should take steps to create a new strategic-strike triad, relying on its precision- and electronic-strike capabilities to form two of the three legs, with a smaller residual nuclear force comprising the third leg.
CSBA Proposes New Defense Strategy
01/30/2001 CSBA proposes in its report, A Strategy for a Long Peace, a new defense strategy to respond to the changing security environment and to ensure the US maintains the military superiority to underwrite a long peace.
A Strategy for a Long Peace
01/30/2001 The report examines the challenges of the future security environment and explores one transformational path, which the authors believe to be preferable to that pursued in the current defense program.
The Military Revolution And The Case For Deep Cuts In Nuclear Forces
11/00/1998 Article discussing how smarter bombs may allow a decrease in nuclear weapons |
ProliferationNuclear Proliferation in Asia is a major enduring challenge to U.S. security. Since 1998, India and Pakistan have tested nuclear weapons and created nuclear arsenals. North Korea apparently has nuclear weapons and is producing the fissile material necessary to fabricate more of these devices. Iran, undoubtedly aware of the very different treatment accorded to a nuclear North Korea relative to Saddam Hussein’s non-nuclear Iraq, is vigorously pressing forward with its nuclear weapons program. It is conceivable that before the decade is out, a solid front of nuclear states may stretch from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Japan, through a part of the world increasingly important to U.S. security and economic well-being. The consequences of the rise of this “atomic arc of instability” will be profound. The most important implication of the proliferation of nuclear-armed states is the increase in the likelihood that these weapons will be used. It is unclear whether countries like Iran, North Korea and Pakistan, whose cultures and political systems are profoundly different from our own, will share the American view that nuclear weapons are weapons of last resort. Another major challenge that nuclear proliferation poses is the dramatic change in the global balance of power that will undoubtedly follow in its wake. The United States will not be able to influence the nuclear-armed adversaries the same way it engages non-nuclear states. The array of political and diplomatic instruments of power, as well as military options available to the United States vis-à-vis rogue states armed with nuclear weapons, will be reduced starkly. This seems to be a principal motive for North Korea and Iran in their quest for nuclear weapons. Proliferation begets proliferation. It is conceivable that nuclear weapons could fall into the hands of nonstate entities as a consequence of corruption or state failure. Nor can one discount the possibility that a state like North Korea, which proliferates ballistic missile technology, or Pakistan, whose prime nuclear scientist was running a nuclear weapons production materials bazaar, would consciously provide, for a price, nuclear weapons or fissile material to other states and nonstate groups. The diffusion of nuclear materials heralds the era of the Second Nuclear Regime. The First Regime, which began with the attacks on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945 and ended during the 1990s, was characterized by a few mature powers possessing nuclear weapons and observing a tradition of non-use of these weapons. Now the former characteristic no longer holds, and the latter is open to debate. |