Assessing the Arsenals: Past, Present, and Future Capabilities

As the modernization of existing nuclear arsenals, the spread of nuclear weapons, and the diffusion of new technologies make the nuclear landscape more complex, the time is ripe for a fresh examination of the nuclear balance. Toward this end, CSBA has been conducting a multi-year net assessment of the changing nuclear balance.

The first two products of this major ongoing analytic effort, The Changing Nuclear Balance: a Net Assessment: 
•    Assessing the Arsenals: Past, Present, and Future Capabilities by Jacob Cohn, Adam Lemon, and Evan Braden Montgomery
•    Understanding Strategic Interaction in the Second Nuclear Age by Thomas G. Mahnken, Gillian Evans, Toshi Yoshihara, Eric S. Edelman, and Jack Bianchi.

Assessing the Arsenals: Past, Present, and Future Capabilities assesses the past, present, and planned nuclear arsenals all of the declared nuclear-weapons states. It then uses that data to identify key asymmetries across national nuclear arsenals, which could have major consequences for competition, crisis, and conflict.