CSBA in the News

Air- and space-based sensors apparently played a vital role in helping corroborate the HUMINT and providing the assault team a detailed view of bin Laden’s compound — likely right up to the minute of the raid. “I would say, in terms of trying to get the initial confirmation of intelligence tips they got through the HUMINT, and all way up through the [final] mission planning, they would have found value in overhead assets and would have used them,” says Barry Watts, a senior analyst with the Washington, D.C.-based Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments/…/ In short, the sats sketched the infrastructure. The drones appear to have tracked the people. To tie it all together, NGA has the capability to build virtual models — computer simulations, basically — based on the data provided by the sensor systems.

Totaling the cost of the decade-long hunt for Osama bin Laden, with Todd Harrison, CSBA senior fellow.

The death of Osama bin Laden, while a tremendous boost to American morale, will have little economic or fiscal impact in the United States the way that the fall of communism had 22 years earlier /…./ “In the near term, this does not change spending at all,” says Todd Harrison, a senior fellow at the nonpartisan Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments in Washington. “We still have to dismantle, disrupt Al Qaeda. And we still have a country to put back together in Afghanistan.”

President Barack Obama’s choice of expert budget-cutter Leon Panetta to lead the Defense Department is a clear signal that the White House perceives the nation’s deficit crisis, not the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, as its toughest challenge/…/As OMB chief, Panetta calculated how much money each agency and department would get. Todd Harrison of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessment sees him as a potential advocate for the Pentagon. “I think having him on the DOD side of the budget battle now will be a real asset to DOD. He knows how OMB works, knows the inner workings of the budget process at the White House. So I think he will be better equipped to negotiate DOD’s top line budget than any of the other candidates” who were considered, Harrison said. Harrison said it is “kind of an unknown” what Panetta’s views are on some of the major budget decisions that he’ll face at the Pentagon. “It remains to be seen how he’s going to favor people, force structure, modernization” or weapons programs, Harrison said of Panetta, who served as a first lieutenant in the Army from 1964-66.

Obama has picked CIA Director Leon Panetta to replace outgoing Secretary of Defense Robert Gates; Afghan commander Gen. David Petraeus to take the helm of the CIA; and Marine Corps Lt. Gen. John Allen to take command in Afghanistan, where he will be joined in Kabul by former U.S. Ambassador to Iraq Ryan Crocker.

Obama’s anticipated nominations of CIA Director Leon Panetta to replace the retiring Robert Gates as Defense secretary and Gen. David Petraeus as CIA director, which are expected to be announced Thursday, signal continuity both for the administration’s strategy in Afghanistan and its determination to take on wide-ranging missions with limited resources/…/Beyond the current wars, Panetta will be tasked with manning, equipping and training U.S. forces for future fights while dealing with smaller budgets. Obama has called for $400 billion in defense cuts over the next 12 years/…/The task, says Todd Harrison of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, is “What kind of military to do we need in the next 10 years, and what weapons systems could we do without?”