Prior to his retirement from the Navy in 2007, Captain van Tol served as special adviser in the Office of the Vice President. He was a military assistant to Andrew W. Marshall, the Secretary of Defense’s Principal Advisor for Net Assessment, from 1993-96 and again from 2001-2003. At sea, he commanded three warships, two of which, the USS O’Brien (DD-975) and the USS Essex (LHD-2), were part of the U.S. Navy’s Forward Deployed Naval Forces based in Japan.
Captain van Tol’s analytic work has focused mainly on long-range strategic planning, naval warfare, military innovation, and wargaming.
This report examines options and offers recommendations for enhancing NATO’s ability to deter future Russian aggression and defend NATO member states in the Baltic region in the context of Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The authors draw their findings from CSBA research, wargame scenarios, and reports on military operations.
Deterrence and Defense in the Baltic Region examines security requirements for the Baltic States and NATO in the context of Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The war has provided an opportunity to understand the implications for NATO's eastern flank stemming from Russia's demonstrated willingness to use large-scale military force against another European nation, reassess pre-war assumptions concerning putative Russian military effectiveness, and to draw preliminary observations about Russian and Ukrainian combat performance.
This week, 32 allied nations will gather in Washington, DC for the annual NATO Summit, marking the alliance’s 75th anniversary. As we prepare for this occasion, we invite you to explore analyses that examine NATO’s challenges and evolution.
CSBA hosted a webinar discussion regarding CSBA’s latest publication, Deterrence and Defense in the Baltic Region: New Realities, by Jan van Tol, Chris Bassler, Katherine Kjellström Elgin, and Tyler Hacker, on Wednesday, June 15. The report examines Baltic deterrence and defense requirements in the context of Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The war has provided an opportunity to understand the implications for NATO stemming from Russia's demonstrated willingness to use large-scale military force against another European nation, re-assess pre-war assumptions concerning putative Russian military effectiveness, and to draw preliminary observations about Russian and Ukrainian combat performance.
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