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Storm Clouds for U.S. Foreign Policy in the Philippines

Andrew Krepinevich, [distinguished senior fellow] of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, compares what China calls a "peaceful rise" strategy to the Soviet Union's attempts to "Findlandize" Europe. "If the [military] balance shifted in Moscow's favor, America's European allies might conclude that Moscow could not be resisted and would fall under Soviet sway. All of Europe would then share the fate of Finland, which had remained nominally independent after World War II, but abided by foreign policy rules dictated in Moscow." Krepinevich warns that, should the U.S. military advantage over China continue to erode, American allies and friends in Asia may have no choice but to follow Finland's Cold War example.